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6 minute read
Filling up at the pump matters to voters.
4 minute read
Can you guess the common threads in each of these four recent news categories?
If so, which decade are we reliving?
7 minute read
Next year looks far away from here.
3 minute read
The U.S. Treasury’s plan to buy back some of its securities should have many benefits.
Sticky inflation might slow the Fed, but not the timeliness of extending duration.
It depends on whom you ask.
8 minute read
The Fed may be dovish just by not being hawkish.
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
The Fed's game plan hasn't changed, but defeating inflation will take longer than it expected.
Inflation, politics and the market's dyspepsia have investors on edge.
Geopolitics, seasonality, interest rates and stubborn inflation have all come calling.
5 minute read
Historically, the last leg toward a given inflation target has often been the most difficult.
I know you're waiting for that correction.
The market's having a party, but inflation's a guest that just won't leave.
The central bank hasn't cut and yet the market cheers.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
2024 could be a great year if we navigate it right.
What's even better than a Goldilocks market?
Strong wage growth keeps Fed cuts off the bases.
Inflation data reminded us this week that we're not out of the woods yet.
There's plenty of data to cause concern but, for now, even more to prompt a smile.
Labor market and consumer spending firm, while inflation rises.
Sticky inflation remains a concern, but maybe the path forward is muddling through.
2 minute read
Three things to watch in 2024.
The Fed now projects rate cuts in 2024, just not as many as the markets have.
3 minute watch
The Fed is seeing the results it hoped for.
The markets have swung too far by forecasting multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024.
Despite high rates, the large amount of maturing debt in the coming years is not a crisis.
Back-to-School sales were soft, but consumers are spending elsewhere.
But overall labor-market picture is mixed.
School spending slows while inflation rises.
Data point in different directions.
Powell uses Jackson Hole keynote to reiterate Fed’s vigilance to lower inflation.
Fed may remain vigilant.
2 minute watch
The U.S. is likely already feeling the predicted “rocky landing.”
High inflation hurts everyone.
Investors should watch corporate earnings.
A mild recession may be inevitable.
The consumer is between tough headwinds and promising tailwinds.
Higher-for-longer rates can be beneficial for dividend strategies.
The markets have finally listened to hawkish Fed speak.
Comparing the cost of becoming an adult across decades.
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